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Direct Investing vs Mutual Funds: What Beginners Should Know

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  Direct Investing Looks Easy on Twitter, Insta & Facebook Only 😂 Social media often highlights quick profits and success stories. However, real investing requires time, research, discipline and emotional balance. Tracking markets daily, analysing results, and managing volatility is not easy for everyone. If you do not have the time or skill, consider starting with Mutual Funds in the initial phase of investing. Mutual Funds offer: • Professional fund management • Diversification • Systematic investing (SIP discipline) • Structured approach aligned with financial goals Invest with patience. Invest with discipline. If you are planning to start an SIP or wish to review your existing mutual fund investments, feel free to connect for a suitable and goal-based discussion. Rajesh Kathpalia, CFP® AMFI Registered Mutual Fund Distributor ARN – 257079 📞 98916 45052 Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.

Sectoral Valuation Snapshot – India

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  📊 Sectoral Valuation Snapshot – India Some sectors are currently trading below their long-term average valuations , while others are above historical averages . 🟢 Below 10-year average valuations: • Private Banks – valuations reasonable • Public Sector Banks – still attractively placed • Consumer sector – valuations have cooled from earlier highs • Infrastructure – valuations remain supportive for long-term growth ⚠️ Above 10-year average valuations: • Capital Goods • Auto • Healthcare • Metals • Technology 🧠 Key takeaway: Better risk-reward appears in select financials, consumers and infrastructure , while some sectors may see limited near-term upside after strong performance. 📈 Diversification and sector selection remain important.

Rupee at highs – Opportunity for Indian equities ?

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  💱📈 Rupee at highs – Opportunity for Indian equities? Historically, whenever the USD/INR reached peak levels (rupee at weaker levels): ➡️ Indian equities rebounded strongly in the following years ➡️ An inverse relationship is visible at market extremes 📊 Past examples show: • Rupee peaks around 51, 69, 76, 92 were followed by higher Nifty levels • Equity markets responded positively over the medium to long term 🧠 Key takeaway: Currency weakness at extremes has historically created opportunities in Indian equities , rather than a reason to panic. 📈 Long-term investors should stay invested and focus on fundamentals, not short-term currency moves.

Bond vs Equity – Earnings Yield Gap Update

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  Bond vs Equity – Earnings Yield Gap Update Currently: 🔹 10-Year Bond Yield: ~6.7% 🔹 Equity Earnings Yield (Nifty 50): ~5.0% 📉 The gap between bond yield and equity earnings yield has widened . 📌 What does this mean? • Bonds are offering relatively attractive yields • Equity markets will now need strong earnings growth to justify valuations • Market focus is shifting more towards corporate earnings performance 🧠 Key takeaway: Going forward, stock selection and earnings growth will be more important than liquidity-driven rallies.

India Macro Snapshot – Key Takeaways

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  India Macro Snapshot – Key Takeaways 🔹 Inflation: Gradually cooling and under control 🔹 Crude Oil: Trending lower vs earlier highs – positive for India 🔹 GST Collections: Stable, reflecting steady economic activity 🔹 Forex Reserves: Comfortable around USD 690–700 bn 📉 Trade Balance: • India continues to run a trade deficit (imports > exports) • Deficit widened in some months due to higher crude prices and global volatility • Supported by strong services exports and healthy forex reserves 🏦 Banking & Growth Indicators: • Credit growth remains healthy • Deposit growth improving • Manufacturing & Services PMI above 50 , indicating economic expansion 🧠 Overall takeaway: India’s macro fundamentals remain stable and supportive for long-term growth , despite short-term global and market volatility. 📈 Staying disciplined and focused on long-term goals remains key.

Equities vs Gold & Silver – What looks attractive ?

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Equities vs Gold & Silver – What looks attractive? The Nifty-to-Gold+Silver ratio is currently near its long-term support zone . 📌 Historically, whenever this ratio reached this level: ➡️ It often marked a shift in performance ➡️ Equities tended to outperform precious metals over the next few years 📉 Recent fall in the ratio suggests metals have outperformed equities in the short term. 📈 From a historical perspective, this zone has favoured equity allocation going forward. 🧠 Key takeaway: Instead of chasing recent winners, maintaining proper asset allocation and long-term discipline is important.

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